Skip to main content

Bookies Corner: Fleetwood Town v Bristol City

Last week Easyodds.com football tipster and City fan Ross Casey thought Doncaster would offer a stern test after winning all of their away matches this season but they came undone at Ashton Gate and were blown away 3-0.

That was a terrific result for the Robins and they then followed it up with yet another 3-0 romp away to out of sorts Port Vale on Tuesday night. Next up is our first ever trip to Fleetwood – a side two places off the play-offs but badly needing to turnaround a poor run of results.

Can the Robins continue their great 14 match unbeaten run in League One? Keep reading below for Ross’ full betting preview…

"The bookies were busy yet again in the League One outright winner market – last week they made us stand-alone favourites at 4/1 but after back-to-back 3-0 victories we are now a best price of 11/4. An incredible vote of confidence from the bookmakers!

Fleetwood carried on the crest of their wave to start the season terrifically well but have tailed off a little in recent weeks slipping to eighth – still way above their weight in terms of history. Their matches this season have plenty of interesting trends we can look at so let’s get to it!”

BEST MATCH ODDS:
BRISTOL CITY – 31/20 (BetVictor)
FLEETWOOD – 11/5 (BoyleSports)
DRAW – 49/20 (MarathonBet)

BRISTOL CITY:
After pointing out that we had only ever won by the single goal before the Scunthorpe game City have been running riot! A 2-0 win over the Iron was followed up by tremendous 3-0 victories over Donny and Port Vale.

This has been a truly brilliant start to the season – our best for over 100 years! Six wins and two draws mean we have 20 points and top the League One table unbeaten. A large part of our success has been the improved defence. We have kept three clean sheets on the bounce now and Frankie Fielding and company are a best price 9/4 to keep another on Saturday.

We have scored 15 goals this season and with the defence only conceding four goals thus far we look like a side that will continue to win or at least draw matches – a new experience for some younger City fans!

We have covered a minus one handicap in the last three matches and if you believe we can again win by more than one goal then the best price available is 4/1.

I have to be honest and say that when we signed Aaron Wilbraham I was pretty nonplussed – this was a player nearing the end of his career with one goal in 18 months at Crystal Palace. However, his chance meeting on holiday with Steve Cotterill has been a true blessing – he has led the line brilliantly and chipped in with seven goals. Only Chesterfield’s Eoin Doyle has more to his name in League One. Wilbz is 11/2 to finish the season as top scorer which would be a feat as Baldock was last season too. The target man is up against the huge Nathan Pond on Saturday which will be a real battle – but both he (19/10) and Aden Flint (12/1) are valid options in the anytime goalscorer market.

FLEETWOOD:
Fleetwood are an interesting side to look at in terms of betting. They are unbeaten at home – which is the main reason we are odds against to win (31/20 best price) but they are on a poor run of no win in six matches.

Their tight Highbury ground is a tough place to get a result, and their defence is excellent. They have only conceded four goals in eight matches. Their clean sheet value is dwindled slightly by the fact we are so free-scoring but that record cannot be ignored and some may fancy a Fleetwood shutout at 11/4.

Their forward line is not doing so well though – they have not scored in their last three matches and only scored seven goals in all of their 10 matches this term. Considering that there have only been five goals scored at Highbury all season the bet here could well be under 2.5 goals to be scored. A tight defence and a goal shy attack may well point towards that. Best price of 5/6 on that one.

HEAD TO HEADS:
We have never played at Highbury against Fleetwood. We have however beaten Arsenal at Highbury FOUR times in our history. Ave’ that Gooners!

THE LONG SHOT:
I do believe this one will be tight and I think a draw may be on the cards personally – but I think with tight matches against well-drilled defences sometimes it takes a piece of individual brilliance to unlock a backline so I fancy Luke Freeman to score at 5/1. He has come close with his free-kicks plenty of times this season already and he could well come up trumps for us if things in open play aren’t going according to plan.


MY RECOMMENDED BET:
Draw @ 49/20 – BET NOW

I think this offers good value at 49/20. Fleetwood haven’t lost at home so far and we haven’t lost away. Whilst they are on a poor run and we are on an excellent one a draw would still be a decent result – see Rochdale’s improved form after we drew with them at Spotland!

*All prices supplied by www.easyodds.com and prices all correct as of Fri 19th September 2014*


The Exiled Robin

Follow me on Twitter ---'Like' us on Facebook

http://exiledrobin.blogspot.com

www.facebook.com/theciderdiaries --- www.twitter.com/theciderdiaries


Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Why Cotterill was sacked

In the end, it was very sudden.  In a season where pressure has increasingly grown on Steve Cotterill for all sorts of reasons, an unknown combination of a lacklustre, exhausted-looking performance at home to Preston, an unsavoury altercation with an abusive ‘supporter’ at the end of that game, or perhaps a behind-the-scenes disagreement over transfer policy look to have ultimately curtailed his time at Ashton Gate. No manager these days can win just four out of 28 games in a season, be in the bottom three, and expect to be impervious to the threat of being sacked. But given such an incredulous level of success last season, Cotterill was surely closer than most to having a level of credit in the bank to be given until the end of the season? I share views with many as a general principle where I wish all clubs would give mangers more time to build, but the days of giving a manager the luxury of years of under-achievement, of the type Alex Ferguson enjoyed, resulting in a ...
12 comments
Read more

The Inside Line: MK Dons (substituted) 24/08/2013

This new series on The Exiled Robin threatened to come a cropper in its early days with a fixture against Franchise FC, as I wasn't prepared to seek an opinion on a club created in such a fashion.  Not that I doubt that those supporters who follow them do so in the same irrational and desperate manner we all do with our clubs, but the way they came about, with the corresponding direct negative impact on another community-based club, manes they are - ironically enough - disenfranchised from the football community as a whole.  Anyway, as a result I decided to instead focus on their predecessors, a club reborn and one that has found it's way back into the football league for a second time. Chris Lines, (NOT the ex-Gas player, as far as I know!) writes his own blog and occasionally offers his view for the fabulous Two Unfortunates, as well as spending his weekends following the fortunes of AFC Wimbledon. You can follow Chris on Twitter @NarrowtheAngle : ...
13 comments
Read more

Scott Golbourne: He's Coming Home - a Wolves view

The signing of Scott Golbourne (not Goldborne, Goldbourne or Golborne!) must have been as much a relief for those in the club’s hierarchy as it was for us supporters. Constantly barracked and ridiculed over the past few months for the seemingly disastrous lack of transfer activity, Golbourne is only the second permanent signing for the senior squad in 18 months since we embarked on our hugely successful League One title-winning campaign. Plenty of loans have been tried in the meantime, but only Jonathan Kodjia’s bolt-from-the-blue signing from Angers in the summer has caused the editors on Wikipedia to move a player's full time club to Bristol City in that time. Any fan over the age of 17/18 or so will fleetingly remember Golbourne, of course, as he spent his formative years with us but his opportunities were limited at that stage so I knew little about him, other than he’s looked like a pretty solid looking traditional full-back in the games I’ve seen him in since. ...
7 comments
Read more