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Tuesday, 23 January 2018

Bristol City v Manchester City betting Tips #MCFC #BristolCity

Bristol City v Manchester City betting tips

Ross’ debut on The Exiled Robin started with an agonising (but very fortunate for us) loss as his Derby to win to nil recommended best bet didn’t come in thanks to the wrong decision not to give Derby a late penalty for a foul by Aden Flint on Cameron Jerome. He did however, point out that Derby have the best home defence in the league and ushered you in the direction of a home clean sheet at 17/10. Over to Ross for the betting preview of our Carabao Cup semi-final second leg on Tuesday night…

Bristol City head into this tie on the back of a gutting late 2-1 defeat at The Etihad in the first leg. The Robins were on a five-match losing streak heading into the match with Derby on Friday, so Lee Johnson was delighted to end that unwanted streak ahead of this massive fixture. Annoying for me is the ruling that away goals count AFTER extra-time, so if the game does go to 120 minutes, Man City will have that long to secure an away goal which will count double, whilst Bristol City only had 90. 

MATCH ODDS

Premier League leaders Man City are a best price of 1/4 to win this fixture, making them huge favourites. They disposed of Newcastle 3-1 last time out with familiar ease and Argentinian superstar Sergio Aguero netted a hat-trick. 

The Cityzens are still in with a shout of securing a historic quadruple this season under Pep Guardiola and with a tie against Cardiff the following weekend rather than Liverpool as it was in the first leg, I expect him to name a stronger side than he did then.

The draw is available at 11/2 with Man City drawing just four of their 35 matches this season. Of course, Bristol City were seconds away from securing such a result at The Etihad before Aguero headed home.

The Robins have been made even bigger outsiders at 14/1. A far bigger price than the 9/2 winning bet I got on The Robins to beat their Manchester rivals in the quarter-final! 

KEY STATS

Both previous League Cup ties between these two sides finishing 2-1 to Man City. That correct score is available at 9/1 for those interested!

Man City striker Sergio Aguero has now scored seven goals in his last five games with the Liverpool away loss the only match he hasn’t netted in during that sequence. With Gabriel Jesus out injured he is the only real out an out striker at their disposal, although Raheem Sterling filled that role in the first leg. He is a best price 11/4 to score first or you can get odds on 8/13 that he scores anytime.

Bristol City have only scored two goals in their last six matches and whilst we saw the return of Famara Diedhiou on Friday night, it will be a while until we see our record signing at his best as he returns to full fitness. With Man City keeping eight clean sheets in 17 away games so far, many may fancy the 21/20 available on Man City to win to nil.

However, a caveat to that would be that Bristol City have scored in every one of their Carabao Cup games this season and in fact historically scored in 21 of their 24 fixtures against Man City, including never once failing to net at home against them! Both teams to score is 11/1.

For the hopeless romantics, there is faith to be had in the fact that Man City have actually now won just three of their last seven AWAY matches in 90 minutes. Bristol City have been made 7/2 to secure a double chance victory – to either win or draw in 90 minutes at Ashton Gate this Tuesday night.

RECOMMENDED BEST BET

The potential losses of both Frank Fielding and Nathan Baker are going to hit us hard in my opinion and if Man City name a stronger side than in the first leg as expected, I see a fast start by the away side as they look to put the tie to bed early. For those reasons, I am backing Man City to be ahead after 15 minutes with a best price of 29/10.

Follow Ross on Twitter at @RossCasey24

Ross Casey has six years’ worth of experience in the football betting industry where he worked his way up from a data management input role all the way to being the editor thanks to his betting knowledge and his editorial skills. 

Currently seeking new work after redundancy, we are happy to have the Bristol City fan who has supported the club from birth and had a season ticket for 15 years before moving to London, writing for us weekly. He now attends as many City games as possible and counts Tommy Doherty and Jon Stead among his City heroes.


Thursday, 18 January 2018

Derby County v Bristol City betting tips

We’re baaack! 

Well, in a fashion, anyway. Unfortunately, blogging has very much taken a back-seat for me over the past 18 months for a myriad reasons, but hopefully you’ve been keeping up with my thoughts and discussion points on the Facebook and Twitter pages. 

And whilst I’m trying to recover my extended writing mojo, I’ve enlisted the support of Ross Casey, formerly top football tipster of EasyOdds and a lifelong City fan, to take a look at football betting markets to help you beat the bookies.

Ross’ debut on The Exiled Robin comes ahead of Friday night’s trip to Derby County for Sky’s Friday Night Football headliner. Over to Ross…


Bristol City head to the iPro Stadium on Friday night in a Championship fixture broadcast live on Sky Sports. With the Robins on a five-match losing streak, it is little surprise that the bookmakers have made the away side outsiders!

MATCH ODDS

Derby are a best price of 11/10 to win this fixture, making them firm favourites. Some firms go even shorter at even money so make sure you peruse an odds comparison service to ensure you get the best Championship odds here. 

The Rams are now second in the league after a run of eight wins in their last 11 Championship matches. Their only loss in recent weeks was an FA Cup defeat away at Man Utd, where both goals arrived late on, despite Derby resting many players.

The draw is available at 5/2 with Derby drawing 23% of their matches this season. Of course, Bristol City drew 3-3 in this fixture last season, despite leading 3-0 at half-time.

The Robins have been made outsiders at 14/5 which is probably fair considering the injury list at Ashton Gate and the poor form in this fixture. Since Derby moved into their new home, these sides have met seven times with Derby winning five out of seven. The only victory for the away side came back in 2011 when Jon Stead and Cole Skuse goals sealed a 2-0 win for City.

KEY STATS

Derby have the joint best home defence in The Championship along with Leeds. The Rams have conceded just nine goals at the iPro Stadium in 13 league games. If you fancy another clean sheet for Championship player of the month Scott Carson, you can get a best price of 17/10.

Derby striker Matej Vydra is joint top scorer in The Championship this season with 15 goals to his name already. The Czech Republic international has scored against City twice in six appearances against us, including the reverse fixture this season. He is a best price 6/4 to score.

In the last six meetings between these two sides, there have been an astounding 25 goals scored! Five of those matches have gone over 2.5 goals with that Derby v Bristol City betting selection available at 23/20 on Friday night.

Bristol City have only scored two goals in their last five matches, with Lee Johnson arguing without a target man up front The Robins have to score the perfect goal at the moment. However, live on Sky Sports, we have scored in each of the six games televised! Both teams to score is a best price of 9/10.

RECOMMENDED BEST BET

Annoyingly, I am not holding out too much hope for this one, with our current form and historical crapness in this fixture giving me the feeling that a victory is unlikely. The bookies agree with me too and I will follow the market and back Derby to win to nil at 5/2.

Follow Ross on Twitter at @RossCasey24


Ross Casey has six years worth of experience in the football betting industry where he worked his way up from a data management input role all the way to being the editor thanks to his betting knowledge and his editorial skills. 

Currently seeking new work after redundancy, we are happy to have the Bristol City fan who has supported the club from birth and had a season ticket for 15 years before moving to London, writing for us weekly. He now attends as many City games as possible and counts Tommy Doherty and Jon Stead among his City heroes.



The Exiled Robin




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