Last week easyodds.com tipster and lifelong Bristol
City fan Ross Casey did not hit his best bet, but did point out the value
in both teams to score when the Robins hosted Colchester. However, after
starting the season with a 41/20 winner, the column is still in profit – here’s
hoping he can pluck another winner from the trip to Rochdale.
The Robins remain unbeaten after
securing a 0-0 draw on Tuesday night against promotion hopefuls Leyton Orient,
but it could have been a maximum of nine points had it not been for a poor
refereeing decision which ruled out a Sam Baldock goal. Can City remain
unbeaten in what I like to call the Bamberdele Adebola derby? Or will Dale pull
off the scalp by beating the favourites for the title? Keep reading below for
Ross’ full betting preview…
"The controversially dropped
points on Tuesday night have meant that City slipped from the top of the table
to third – replaced by League One newcomers Fleetwood Town. City remain
favourites to win the league though, their best price has actually shortened
from 6/1 to 11/2 with the ever excellent value Marathonbet. This means that we
are now the side to beat in League One and matches like this one, against newly
promoted Rochdale in the humble surroundings of Spotland, will become even more
difficult in my opinion.
Keith Hill’s Rochdale side started
their season with three losses in a row – scoring just once in the process, but
they sprung to life on Tuesday night hitting Crewe for five in a terrific 5-2
away win. That is sure to breed a lot of confidence going in to this game, and
I am sure Steve Cotterill is aware of that! They are still third favourites for
the drop however, with best odds of 9/4.”
BEST MATCH ODDS:
BRISTOL CITY – 29/20 (Bet365)
ROCHDALE – 11/5 (Ladbrokes)
DRAW – 12/5 (Multiple Bookies)
BRISTOL CITY:
The big change to City this week has
been the signing of Kieran Agard from Rotherham. The pacy forward – who can
also operate and score from the wing was signed on Thursday after a high
profile chase by the club. Landsdown and Cotterill have got their man and now
it’s down to the management team to try and fit him in the starting line-up.
After a hard fought midweek match, it’s possible that he may start as he will
be fresher than some of those players that played two games in a week. He
netted 26 goals last season and is a best price of 7/4 to score at Spotland.
Although there was a great deal of
frustration about the result on Tuesday night because of the disallowed goal,
the big positive in my eyes was the fact that City kept a clean sheet. That is
the first of the season and something that the Robins need more of. With the
attacking ability of the side at this level, they are more often than not going
to net a goal. Therefore if the defence can keep a clean sheet that will
guarantee points. A City clean sheet away at Rochdale is a best price of 9/4
with Bet365.
Despite last Tuesday’s 0-0 draw – in
which Orient had a game plan and it worked, City usually are involved in ties
where both teams score. Rochdale netted five last time out, so you would have
to assume that both teams will net in this one. 8/11 is the best price on offer
in this market with BetVictor.
ROCHDALE:
In preparation for this match I had
all of the statistics ready about Rochdale being a side missing last season’s
goal machine Scott Hogan losing games and scoring no goals. Then they went and
beat Crewe 5-2 and blew all of that out of the water!
That was an incredible result and one
that no one saw coming, but they do concede goals regularly and that is
something City can take advantage of. They have conceded seven goals in their
four matches this season – with their last two matches going over 2.5 goals.
City have had three matches go over 2.5 goals this term – so that could well be
a decent bet. Bet365 is the company offering the best odds there, with 19/20 on
the table.
Matt Done was the surprising
hat-trick hero on Tuesday night netting a trio of strikes. I say it was a
surprise because those were his first goals in over two years of first-team
football! Funny old game isn’t it, football? He is a best price of 6/1 to score
against the Robins.
HEAD TO HEADS:
City have played Rochdale just four
times! We are perfectly even too – both sides have scored a victory over
another and twice they have drawn. Interestingly, goals have been at a premium
between these teams – just four goals have been scored in all fixtures.
I believe that the bookies have been
quite generous with our price – if Rochdale had not won on Tuesday night I
think we would have been evens or odds on to win this match. Thanks to their
big win, they have offered us City fans better odds and I think they offer good
value. Going on that and history, City to win and under 2.5 goals looks a great
shout!
MY RECOMMENDED BET:
I think that with a healthy
frustration in our bellies and the fact Rochdale hit five in midweek – the team
will go into this match full of desire and respect for the opposition. This is
the perfect combination to avoid the entitlement we have seen in the past for
matches like these. I think the odds on a City win are generous and with Agard
coming in too there is now competition for places and an eagerness to win the
three points.
Back another Robins win at 29/20.
*All prices supplied by www.easyodds.com and
prices all correct as of Fri 22nd August 2014*
The Exiled Robin
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