Last week easyodds.com tipster and lifelong Bristol City
fan looked on course for a winning best bet but a second half fightback from
Rochdale put paid to that. It could have been much, much worse though – a
fantastic reaction save from Frank Fielding meant we left Spotland with at
least a point.
Despite the disappointment of not getting the three
points despite being in a winning position, the Robins remain unbeaten and are
starting to show the consistency of a side that really can mount a promotion
push. Can City remain unbeaten in the Super Sunday clash at Meadow Lane against
Shaun Derry’s Notts County? Keep reading below for Ross’ full betting preview…
"The ever changing outright winner market for League
One saw another market move following last weekend – and it was a negative one
for City. They drifted from 11/2 to 6/1 and lost their favourites tag in the
process. Preston North End are the new owners of that tag – and they are now a
best price of 5/1.
Much like last week’s match at Rochdale we will be facing
a side high in confidence. Rochdale were coming off the back of hitting Crewe
for five and Notts County come into this match on the back of two wins on the
bounce. This must come into consideration when placing your bets!”
BEST MATCH ODDS:
BRISTOL CITY – 29/20 (MarathonBet)
NOTTS COUNTY – 9/4 (Bet365)
DRAW – 12/5 (Multiple Bookies)
BRISTOL CITY:
Well what a week to be a Bristol City fan! We have
started well after the excellent finish to last season, recruited well and
brought back the purple and lime – but the exuberance that should be felt for
the Robins fans was knocked out of us by the news that captain and top scorer
Sam Baldock was sold to Brighton.
The jury is out on the sale and how it will affect the
team, but it has to be said we have a more than suitable replacement in Kieran
Agard. 24 goals in this league last season proves he is more than a handful at
this level and after not getting a game last week, it is likely he will make
his debut on Sunday. He is a best price of 7/1 to score first in this match.
In both away matches this season we have taken the lead
and another quickfire start should settle any nerves again and mean we remain
unbeaten. This seems to be a Cotterill tactic away from home to start strong
and then settle into the game – and we are favourites to score first at 5/6.
The defence has certainly improved this season and this
season we have conceded less than a goal a game – just three goals in four
games have been shipped. A clean sheet would be unlikely in personal opinion
because of the confidence in Notts County – but you can get 23/10 on a
shut-out.
For those of you that like to bet with short odds, the
best bet could be Bristol City in the double chance market at 4/11 – City have
lost just once in 17 league matches!
NOTTS COUNTY:
Exactly like Bristol City Notts County have only conceded
three goals in four games – proving that currently both defences have been on
top. With this in mind it could pay well to back under 2.5 goals. That is
available at 19/20.
Whilst the Notts County side is incredibly different in
personnel to last season, it is worth bearing in mind that the Magpies are in
great home form. They have won six of their last seven at home – so the bookies
have taken a big risk at offering odds of 9/4 on a home win.
As mentioned in the excellent ‘Inside Line’ on this very
blog – this could well be an ugly game and if that is the case, set pieces
could be crucial in this match – and with Frankie Fielding still showing
weakness in that area of his goalkeeping skillset take a look at Jake Cassidy
being an anytime scorer at 14/5.
HEAD TO HEADS:
Bristol City were robbed of all three points at Meadow
Lane last season thanks to a last minute penalty in a 1-1 draw. Our goal that
day also came from the spot – and it was that man Sam Baldock – a penalty to be
scored in this match is 4/1.
THE LONG SHOT:
As requested on otib.co.uk I have added a longshot
feature to ‘Bookies Corner’ and this week I am going for Aden Flint to be an
anytime scorer at 9/1. For those of you that like even bigger odds – he is
available at 25/1 to net first!
As I mentioned above, this match probably won’t be a
spectacle but you have to assume that Flint will be given at least one
opportunity to bag a goal from a set-piece. He was in great goalsscoring form
in pre-season but he is yet to score in a competitive game. This could well
prove to be the match that he opens his account.
MY RECOMMENDED
BET:
Kieran Agard
anytime goalscorer @ 12/5 – BET
NOW
With all the talk about Sam Baldock leaving and our
perceived loss of goals in the team – I think that people have forgotten that
we have a very accomplished League One goalscorer in our side as his
replacement.
What a way to announce his arrival to Robins fans it
would be for Agard to net on his debut. And you can more than double your money
if he comes up with the goods here – just as he did in both home and away
matches for Rotherham against County last season!
Back another Agard goal against the Magpies at 12/5.
*All prices supplied by www.easyodds.com and prices all
correct as of Sat 30th August 2014*
The Exiled Robin
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