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Saturday, 30 August 2014

Bookies Corner: Notts County v Bristol City

Last week easyodds.com tipster and lifelong Bristol City fan looked on course for a winning best bet but a second half fightback from Rochdale put paid to that. It could have been much, much worse though – a fantastic reaction save from Frank Fielding meant we left Spotland with at least a point.

Despite the disappointment of not getting the three points despite being in a winning position, the Robins remain unbeaten and are starting to show the consistency of a side that really can mount a promotion push. Can City remain unbeaten in the Super Sunday clash at Meadow Lane against Shaun Derry’s Notts County? Keep reading below for Ross’ full betting preview…

"The ever changing outright winner market for League One saw another market move following last weekend – and it was a negative one for City. They drifted from 11/2 to 6/1 and lost their favourites tag in the process. Preston North End are the new owners of that tag – and they are now a best price of 5/1.

Much like last week’s match at Rochdale we will be facing a side high in confidence. Rochdale were coming off the back of hitting Crewe for five and Notts County come into this match on the back of two wins on the bounce. This must come into consideration when placing your bets!”

BEST MATCH ODDS:
BRISTOL CITY – 29/20 (MarathonBet)
NOTTS COUNTY – 9/4 (Bet365)
DRAW – 12/5 (Multiple Bookies)

BRISTOL CITY:
Well what a week to be a Bristol City fan! We have started well after the excellent finish to last season, recruited well and brought back the purple and lime – but the exuberance that should be felt for the Robins fans was knocked out of us by the news that captain and top scorer Sam Baldock was sold to Brighton.

The jury is out on the sale and how it will affect the team, but it has to be said we have a more than suitable replacement in Kieran Agard. 24 goals in this league last season proves he is more than a handful at this level and after not getting a game last week, it is likely he will make his debut on Sunday. He is a best price of 7/1 to score first in this match.

In both away matches this season we have taken the lead and another quickfire start should settle any nerves again and mean we remain unbeaten. This seems to be a Cotterill tactic away from home to start strong and then settle into the game – and we are favourites to score first at 5/6.

The defence has certainly improved this season and this season we have conceded less than a goal a game – just three goals in four games have been shipped. A clean sheet would be unlikely in personal opinion because of the confidence in Notts County – but you can get 23/10 on a shut-out.
For those of you that like to bet with short odds, the best bet could be Bristol City in the double chance market at 4/11 – City have lost just once in 17 league matches!

NOTTS COUNTY:
Exactly like Bristol City Notts County have only conceded three goals in four games – proving that currently both defences have been on top. With this in mind it could pay well to back under 2.5 goals. That is available at 19/20.

Whilst the Notts County side is incredibly different in personnel to last season, it is worth bearing in mind that the Magpies are in great home form. They have won six of their last seven at home – so the bookies have taken a big risk at offering odds of 9/4 on a home win.

As mentioned in the excellent ‘Inside Line’ on this very blog – this could well be an ugly game and if that is the case, set pieces could be crucial in this match – and with Frankie Fielding still showing weakness in that area of his goalkeeping skillset take a look at Jake Cassidy being an anytime scorer at 14/5.

HEAD TO HEADS:
Bristol City were robbed of all three points at Meadow Lane last season thanks to a last minute penalty in a 1-1 draw. Our goal that day also came from the spot – and it was that man Sam Baldock – a penalty to be scored in this match is 4/1.

THE LONG SHOT:
As requested on otib.co.uk I have added a longshot feature to ‘Bookies Corner’ and this week I am going for Aden Flint to be an anytime scorer at 9/1. For those of you that like even bigger odds – he is available at 25/1 to net first!

As I mentioned above, this match probably won’t be a spectacle but you have to assume that Flint will be given at least one opportunity to bag a goal from a set-piece. He was in great goalsscoring form in pre-season but he is yet to score in a competitive game. This could well prove to be the match that he opens his account.

MY RECOMMENDED BET:
Kieran Agard anytime goalscorer @ 12/5 – BET NOW
With all the talk about Sam Baldock leaving and our perceived loss of goals in the team – I think that people have forgotten that we have a very accomplished League One goalscorer in our side as his replacement.

What a way to announce his arrival to Robins fans it would be for Agard to net on his debut. And you can more than double your money if he comes up with the goods here – just as he did in both home and away matches for Rotherham against County last season!

Back another Agard goal against the Magpies at 12/5.

*All prices supplied by www.easyodds.com and prices all correct as of Sat 30th August 2014*


The Exiled Robin

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