In a new article for The Exiled
Robin, lifelong Bristol City fan and easyodds.com football
tipster Ross Casey will preview Bristol City’s matches from a betting angle.
After finding a 13/8 winner last week against Walsall he is
on for a hat-trick, so where does he think your money should be going on Friday
against Notts County?
After picking up a scrappy win away
from home last week thanks to a Sam Baldock penalty and a (Steve Cotterill
assisted!) penalty save from Simon Moore, the table looks a lot more healthy
for us Robins fans! Currently seven
points clear from the drop zone, with 12 points still to play for another win
here could see us mathematically safe and we can all breathe a huge sigh of
relief.
The fixture list has handed us four
back-to-back relegation strugglers for our run-in – we face Notts County,
Crewe, Stevenage and Crawley – who will all be fighting for survival so all
matches should prove competitive.
MATCH ODDS
BRISTOL CITY – 5/4 (Various)
NOTTS COUNTY – 12/5 (Various)
DRAW – 13/5 (Various)
BRISTOL CITY
Bristol City have been made
favourites with the bookies to win this match on Good Friday – with best odds
available at 5/4. This is in large part to our prolonged form as we have lost
just one match in our last nine with our home form even more impressive. At
Ashton Gate we boast a record of one loss in our last 11 games!
Even more pleasingly after a season
of defensive frailties, hiccups and downright cock-ups, we have now kept three
clean sheets in our last six games. I actually tipped us to keep a clean sheet
last week – but I shall not be doing that here. For those of you who fancy that
bet though, we are a best price 23/10.
Sam Baldock was our goalscoring hero
last week taking his league goal tally to 21 – making him joint top scorer in
the whole of League One along with Britt Assombalonga and Callum Wilson. Our
captain is 5/2 to finish top scorer.
Interestingly, Baldock netted
penalties in both fixtures against Walsall and having already scored from the
spot at Notts County – is it written in
the stars he nets another here? He is 7/5 best price to score in this game
and we are the big price of 13/2 to
score a penalty.
NOTTS COUNTY
Notts County’s short term form is
very, very good. The Magpies have won four of their last five matches – a
sequence that has lifted them out of the relegation zone – albeit by goal
difference. Fortunately for us though, their away form is nothing short of
pitiful. They have picked up just three wins from 25 and they were against
fellow strugglers Colchester, Stevenage and Crewe.
They also picked up a draw at Anfield
this season though. Funny old game isn’t it?! I think that thanks to their
recent run they will manage to hit the net on Friday – they have only failed to score in eight of their 25
away games this season.
In terms of goalscorers they have a
few threats. James Spencer is an old school number 9 who will hold the ball up
well, be aggressive in his play and be an aerial threat throughout. He has
scored three goals in his last two appearances and is 3/1 to score. In the
words of the late Gorilla Monsoon, the battle between him and Nyron Nosworthy
could well be the irresistible force against the immovable object.
Their two wingers Jack Grealish and
former Robin Jamal Campbell-Ryce have terrorised defences in recent weeks and
will be a constant threat. I think we will probably match their formation to
have two wingers protecting our full-backs. JCR actually matched his league
tally of two Bristol City goals in 52 appearances with his brace against Port
Vale last week! The pint sized winger is 11/2 to score against his former team.
HEAD TO HEADS
We drew the reverse fixture 1-1 back
in December with both sides scoring penalties. That is the most likely score in
the correct score market – it’s priced up at 7/1.
The last time we met at Ashton Gate
was an FA Cup encounter back in 2005 where we suffered another early exit
losing 2-0. We played a back four including Kelly Youga and David Partridge
that day – not sure how we didn’t keep a clean sheet! For anyone playing ‘where’s
Kelly Youga’, he actually lined up for AFC Wimbledon against Bristol Rovers
last week!
Our home form against Notts in the
league is far more impressive – we are currently unbeaten in our last six
matches! Here’s hoping we take that run to seven on Friday and get closer to
safety in the process.
MY RECOMMENDED BET
Over 2.5 goals @ 3/4 – BET NOW
These teams both get involved in
gluttony for goals. Nine of our last 12 matches have seen three or more goals
scored and six of the last seven County games have followed suit. I fancy over
2.5 goals at an almost evens price of 3/4.
*All prices supplied by easyodds.com and
prices all correct as of Fri 17th April 2014*
The Exiled Robin
Follow me on Twitter ---'Like' us on Facebook
http://exiledrobin.blogspot.com
www.facebook.com/theciderdiaries --- www.twitter.com/theciderdiaries
Comments
Post a Comment