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Derby County v Bristol City betting tips

We’re baaack! 

Well, in a fashion, anyway. Unfortunately, blogging has very much taken a back-seat for me over the past 18 months for a myriad reasons, but hopefully you’ve been keeping up with my thoughts and discussion points on the Facebook and Twitter pages. 

And whilst I’m trying to recover my extended writing mojo, I’ve enlisted the support of Ross Casey, formerly top football tipster of EasyOdds and a lifelong City fan, to take a look at football betting markets to help you beat the bookies.

Ross’ debut on The Exiled Robin comes ahead of Friday night’s trip to Derby County for Sky’s Friday Night Football headliner. Over to Ross…


Bristol City head to the iPro Stadium on Friday night in a Championship fixture broadcast live on Sky Sports. With the Robins on a five-match losing streak, it is little surprise that the bookmakers have made the away side outsiders!

MATCH ODDS

Derby are a best price of 11/10 to win this fixture, making them firm favourites. Some firms go even shorter at even money so make sure you peruse an odds comparison service to ensure you get the best Championship odds here. 

The Rams are now second in the league after a run of eight wins in their last 11 Championship matches. Their only loss in recent weeks was an FA Cup defeat away at Man Utd, where both goals arrived late on, despite Derby resting many players.

The draw is available at 5/2 with Derby drawing 23% of their matches this season. Of course, Bristol City drew 3-3 in this fixture last season, despite leading 3-0 at half-time.

The Robins have been made outsiders at 14/5 which is probably fair considering the injury list at Ashton Gate and the poor form in this fixture. Since Derby moved into their new home, these sides have met seven times with Derby winning five out of seven. The only victory for the away side came back in 2011 when Jon Stead and Cole Skuse goals sealed a 2-0 win for City.

KEY STATS

Derby have the joint best home defence in The Championship along with Leeds. The Rams have conceded just nine goals at the iPro Stadium in 13 league games. If you fancy another clean sheet for Championship player of the month Scott Carson, you can get a best price of 17/10.

Derby striker Matej Vydra is joint top scorer in The Championship this season with 15 goals to his name already. The Czech Republic international has scored against City twice in six appearances against us, including the reverse fixture this season. He is a best price 6/4 to score.

In the last six meetings between these two sides, there have been an astounding 25 goals scored! Five of those matches have gone over 2.5 goals with that Derby v Bristol City betting selection available at 23/20 on Friday night.

Bristol City have only scored two goals in their last five matches, with Lee Johnson arguing without a target man up front The Robins have to score the perfect goal at the moment. However, live on Sky Sports, we have scored in each of the six games televised! Both teams to score is a best price of 9/10.

RECOMMENDED BEST BET

Annoyingly, I am not holding out too much hope for this one, with our current form and historical crapness in this fixture giving me the feeling that a victory is unlikely. The bookies agree with me too and I will follow the market and back Derby to win to nil at 5/2.

Follow Ross on Twitter at @RossCasey24


Ross Casey has six years worth of experience in the football betting industry where he worked his way up from a data management input role all the way to being the editor thanks to his betting knowledge and his editorial skills. 

Currently seeking new work after redundancy, we are happy to have the Bristol City fan who has supported the club from birth and had a season ticket for 15 years before moving to London, writing for us weekly. He now attends as many City games as possible and counts Tommy Doherty and Jon Stead among his City heroes.



The Exiled Robin




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